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politics

2469 markets

Crypto

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%
$1.7M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

3%
$1.4M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 301%
December 319%
$1.3M Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

2%
$1.2M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)76%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
6 more
$1.1M Vol.•Sep 20, 2026
Politics

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US strike on Mexico by...?

8%
$732.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

160-1792%
180-19956%
16 more
$620.2K Vol.•Sep 18, 2026

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
49 more
$564.6K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028
Politics

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%
$538.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%
$526.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20265%
September 30, 20260%
1 more
$508.7K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
Politics

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$444.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$394.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45%
17 more
$365.6K Vol.•Oct 4, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3160%
September 3013%
2 more
$324.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Gavin Newsom8%
50 more
$317.2K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen36%
Jordan Bardella2%
39 more
$302.9K Vol.•Apr 30, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

7%
$277.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

8%
$275.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?

7%
$256.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%
$254.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

3%
$234.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

11%
$231.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

1%
$222.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%
$219.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by ___?

December 31, 2026100%
June 30, 2027100%
1 more
$213.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Politics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%
$212.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%
$191.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 301%
December 314%
$187.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep60%
D Senate, R House1%
3 more
$183.1K Vol.•Nov 3, 2026

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump2%
J.D. Vance51%
40 more
$182.2K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028
Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$175.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)99%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0%
6 more
$173.3K Vol.•Sep 20, 2026

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 304%
December 3121%
2 more
$172.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

<2802%
280–2942%
5 more
$172.0K Vol.•Sep 20, 2026
Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

8%
$163.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

6%
$157.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

6%
$153.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%
$149.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?

40-590%
60-790%
22 more
$147.0K Vol.•Sep 22, 2026
Politics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

7%
$141.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%
$134.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Maduro guilty of all counts?

21%
$133.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2027
Politics

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

10%
$131.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027