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geopolitics

434 markets

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

3%
$1.4M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%
$1.4M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 301%
December 319%
$1.3M Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

2%
$1.2M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US strike on Mexico by...?

8%
$732.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

8%
$687.7K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%
$526.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20265%
September 30, 20260%
1 more
$508.7K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
Politics

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$444.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$394.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%
$349.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3160%
September 3013%
2 more
$324.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

7%
$277.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?

7%
$256.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%
$254.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

3%
$234.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

11%
$231.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%
$219.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%
$212.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$175.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 304%
December 3121%
2 more
$172.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

8%
$163.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

6%
$157.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

6%
$153.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%
$149.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

7%
$141.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%
$134.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Maduro guilty of all counts?

21%
$133.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2027
Politics

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

10%
$131.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

3%
$127.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%
$123.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%
$123.1K Vol.•Ends Sep 30, 2026

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

September 3097%
October 3197%
3 more
$117.5K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

6%
$116.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

8%
$114.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%
$113.9K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%
$113.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

8%
$112.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

4%
$105.8K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%
$103.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

September 30100%
September 15100%
4 more
$101.1K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026
Geopolitics

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%
$96.3K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu31%
Naftali Bennett9%
17 more
$96.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3093%
October 3181%
2 more
$95.1K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026